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61% of Doctors Fear AI Will Worsen Insurance Denials

Ars Technica AI · Jul 18, 2026 · 2 min read · Read original article →

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The battle over prior authorization is moving from fax machines to algorithms, and a lot of physicians are not happy about it. That tedious process where your insurer must sign off on a treatment before covering it was already a source of mutual frustration for patients and doctors. The idea was always to cut down on wasteful spending by steering people toward cheaper, equally effective options. In reality, it often just meant delays long enough that people gave up on care altogether, or a mountain of paperwork to appeal a denial.

Now health insurers are eyeing AI as the fix. The sales pitch is straightforward: let a model instantly approve the obvious, unambiguous claims so nobody waits two weeks for a routine green light. That part sounds great. The resistance, captured in a 2025 survey from the American Medical Association, centers on the flip side of that efficiency. A striking 61 percent of physicians are worried that AI won’t smooth out the process but will instead supercharge wrongful denials of medically necessary care, automating a ‘no’ faster than a human reviewer ever could.

The AMA isn’t calling for an outright ban. They’re pushing for guardrails—specifically demanding that insurers provide actual clinical reasoning behind a denial, not just a rubber-stamped rejection from a black box. Transparency around the algorithms themselves is another sticking point. If a model is denying your MRI based on a pattern it found in claims data, your doctor deserves to know the logic so they can fight it.

Health policy analyst Camm Epstein cut to the core of the anxiety in an email to Undark, framing the issue not as a tech problem but a moral design choice. “AI should be used to make appropriate care easier to approve,” Epstein wrote, “not necessary care easier to deny.” Meanwhile, the Trump administration is currently piloting its own AI-driven program across six states, aiming to trim what it considers unnecessary spending. Whether that experiment proves to be a scalpel that removes bureaucratic fat or just a faster blade for cutting off access to care is the multi-billion-dollar question nobody can answer yet.

💡 Key Takeaways

  1. A 2025 AMA survey found 61 percent of physicians fear AI will increase denials of medically necessary treatments, not just speed up the easy approvals.
  2. The AMA is pushing for mandatory transparency, requiring insurers to disclose the clinical rationale and algorithmic logic behind any AI-driven coverage denial.
  3. Health policy analyst Camm Epstein argues the design intent must be to greenlight appropriate care faster, not to build a more efficient denial engine.
  4. The Trump administration is actively piloting an AI program in six states to cut medical spending, though its real-world impact on patient access remains unproven.

Keep reading: See related articles below for more coverage on this topic.

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